Arsenal did not win this on the ball. They won it on the second ball.

Possession finished almost level, but the duel numbers after the hour tell the real story: Arsenal took 61% of second balls in the final third and turned three of them into shots inside the box. Tottenham’s press held for an hour and then stopped arriving in numbers — the equaliser came from a loose clearance, not a build-up.

The margin was not the three-point line. It was the offensive rebound.

Both teams shot the three at almost the same clip, so the six points came from elsewhere: Boston grabbed 14 offensive boards to Miami’s 6, converting them into 18 second-chance points. Miami’s defence was efficient on first shots and simply never got to end possessions.

Spin through the middle overs has quietly decided this whole series.

Between overs 11 and 40, India scored at 4.6 an over and lost only two wickets — the third match running in which the middle phase was controlled rather than survived. The pace attack conceded nearly a run more per over at both ends of the innings, but never faced pressure because the middle never broke.

One at-bat in the seventh accounts for most of this result.

The win probability swing on the seventh-inning two-out double was 31 points — larger than every other plate appearance in the game combined. Both starters were efficient and neither bullpen faltered broadly; the game turned on a single pitch left over the plate with two runners on.